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UFC Brasilia: Lee vs. Do Bronx

Sporting events around the world decided to postpone or cancel their schedules, but the UFC decided to ignore the risks and hold UFC Brasília . This Saturday, the BSB Arena will not receive an audience to watch a very competent card in the Brazilian card.

In the main event of the night, American Kevin Lee will face Brazilian Charles do Bronx in a heavyweight duel. The fight was scheduled to be valid for the lightweight division, but Lee was unable to beat the weight in an interesting fight in the margin of the top 10 of the ranking .

In the co-main fight of the night, a very intriguing duel between two Brazilians specialized in grappling. In the welterweight division, veteran  Demian Maia , who is already taking the last steps of his career, faces  Gilbert Durinho , who is experiencing an interesting career rise.

The other two interesting fights on the main card  are Renato Moicano's debut  in the lightweight division against  Damir Hadzovic , while  Johnny Walker tries to recover from his first loss in the organization against tough  Nikita Krylov .

After a brief and failed race between the welterweights, Kevin Lee (18-5 in MMA, 11-5 in the UFC) struggles again to get close to the top 5 in the lightweight division. The American even disputed the interim belt against Tony Ferguson, and even destroyed Edson Barboza in 2018, until a couple of defeats to Al Iaquinta and Rafael dos Anjos delayed their walk. However, he reinvented his game and, in the last fight, delivered the best performance of his career with a knockout candidate of the year on the super prospect Gregor Gillespie.

Talented high school wrestler , a sport in which he has accumulated 37 victories without any loss, Lee has been complementing his game, but without forgetting the strong background . Recently, he has been training with the legendary Firas Zahabi - coach of Georges St. Pierre - adding an increasingly technical and aligned kickboxing to his game . The combinations of punches and kicks are complemented by a good work of feints and movement, in addition to the ever present threat of falling. The physical attributes also grant a good advantage, since the American is very strong for the category and has an absurd wingspan of 196cm.

The extensive weight cut, the physical size and the great power applied in almost all the strokes end up charging the price through gas. Lee's fitness has betrayed him more than once, costing defeats to Ferguson and the Angels. In addition, he may have problems with opponents who neutralize the threat of falling and work the game of counter strikes, a recurring case in most of his defeats.

Charles do Bronx (28-8 in MMA, 16-8 in the UFC) is arguably going through the best phase of his career inside the UFC. The well-established keynote of his career is to easily beat the bottom of the category and fail to try to level up. Since 2018, Charlinho has accommodated himself in picking up lower level opponents, earning money and building a beautiful sequence of six victories in the most populous category of the organization, but showing little progress in his game.

A good black belt in jiu-jitsu, the Brazilian is part of the list of excellent fighters in the offensive field and with low quality in the defensive aspects. Not by chance, he has eight career defeats, only one through the hands of the side judges. Charles has brilliant offensive grappling , with submissions of all types and from all positions, holding the record for submissions in the UFC. On the other hand, it was submitted by Ricardo Lamas, Anthony Pettis and Jim Miller, not to mention the knockouts for Donald Cerrone, Paul Felder and Cub Swanson. Over time, he developed a good muay thai gameoffensive, but has defensive avenues in the standing game, which can be explored by most changers with some quality. Charles marches forward incessantly, with little or no concern for head movement, side evasions and a very hollow guard. The poor defensive ability is also found in grappling, suffering with ground and pound when the opponent is on top and exposing himself a lot to others' finishes.

The physical aspects can also be worrying. Charles has already shown fatigue when he fails to interrupt and is relatively fragile, with little physical strength for the difficult category.
The marriage of styles is very favorable for Kevin Lee. The American is better than the standing opponent and will never be knocked down by the Brazilian, since he has a solid base in wrestling and a lot of advantage in physical strength. Lee must undermine Oliveira with counter strikes and standing combinations, eventually threatening with takedowns and ground and pound to conquer the interruption in the first half of the fight. However, Charlinho is always dangerous standing up and, mainly, with submissions, being able to take advantage of Kevin's slip to finish him.